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General Radio Discussion / Re: Will HF become totally useless for DX?
« on: June 21, 2010, 1957 UTC »
I like how that article claims that predicitons of Solar Cycle 24 were that it was going to be a "doozy" and possibly the biggest in recorded history. However, none of the predictions I read seemed to indicate it would be anything of the sort. Prior to 2009 the predictions were that solar cycle 24 would be average to slightly above average, with several "experts" predicting low activity.
Here is an early 2007 NASA paper looking at predictions for solar cycle 24. http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/SolarCycle/SC24/May_24_2007_table.pdf
Note the predictions ran from a low of 42 to a high of 185. The 1959 peak (biggest in recent history) was over 250, the 1947, 1979, and 1990 peaks (largest 3 after 1959) were all in the 200 region. The lowest peak in the last 100 years was around 1929, peaking at just over 100.
Here is an early 2007 NASA paper looking at predictions for solar cycle 24. http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/SolarCycle/SC24/May_24_2007_table.pdf
Note the predictions ran from a low of 42 to a high of 185. The 1959 peak (biggest in recent history) was over 250, the 1947, 1979, and 1990 peaks (largest 3 after 1959) were all in the 200 region. The lowest peak in the last 100 years was around 1929, peaking at just over 100.