Horizontal antenna will give a good ground wave for more than 10 miles. Trust me, I know . Unfortunately the ITU have DF'd me to within about 12 miles and that's close enough for ground wave detection, should the local authorities want to pay me a visit. I always have the kettle on.
Sure, there is no particular maximum or minimum groundwave coverage. It depends on your TX power, your particular immediate local topography and signal absorption conditions, but a vertical will ALWAYS give a stronger groundwave on mediumwave and on the lower half of the shortwave spectrum. Almost all AM Mediumwave broadcast stations, including Low power ones, have some sort of vertically radiating antenna to maximise groundwave, except high powered stations of the past who switched to horizontal night time antenna constructions for stronger skywave and reduced groundwave coverage. I believe Radio Luxembourg 1440 khz used daytime and nighttime TX antennas and so did R.I.A.S (Rundfunk im Amerikanischen Sektor) - Berlin in the 20th century. For maximum day and night time coverage on mediumwave.
My conclusion is that your local groundwave would have gone even further than 12 miles with more of your signal being vertically polarised under same conditions.... and yes, groundwave is easy to triangulate.